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Provocations | G- ∞: Can Multilateralism Work? 

Provocations

Why has the United States not been attacked again?... understanding U.S. nuclear weapons policy debates… do Arab states support containing Iran?…analyzing the 2009 Israeli elections…and more

Why Has the United States Not Been Attacked Again?
Dallas Boyd, Lewis Dunn, and James Scouras

Why has the U.S. homeland not been successfully attacked since September 11? The authors assess four popular explanations, drawing implications and strategic recommendations from the conclusions. [excerpt]

Understanding the U.S. Nuclear Weapons Policy Debate
Christopher F. Chyba and J. D. Crouch

Together, a former NSC official from each of the last two administrations identify eight key divergent views in the ongoing U.S. nuclear weapons policy, posture, and programs debates, and explain the most important areas of disagreement and consensus. [excerpt]

Containing Iran?: Avoiding a Two-Dimensional Strategy in a Four-Dimensional Region
Dalia Dassa Kaye and Frederic Wehrey

The authors’ fieldwork finds the idea that Arab support to contain Iran has been spurred by Tehran’s recent regional gains is dangerously flawed, based on a misreading of local politics and the nuanced ways Arab states are managing, and in some cases exploiting, the challenge from Iran. [excerpt]

The 2009 Israeli Election: A Bump in the Road to Peace?
Jonathan Marcus

Israel’s political right certainly managed to come out on top in its 2009 election, but it may be premature to see the outcome as a fundamental shift rightward by the Israeli public or a permanent retreat from a two-state solution. [excerpt]

The United States, India, and Global Governance: Can They Work Together?
Teresita C. Schaffer

At the moment, neither India nor the United States wants very strong global governance, but that may change over the next decade as each reconciles their concept of global leadership with different foreign policy styles and interests. [excerpt]

Shaping the Choices of a Rising China: Recent Lessons for the Obama Administration
Thomas J. Christensen

The most recent State Department official responsible for China commends the new administration for continuing U.S. strategy toward Beijing, outlined here, that ultimately seeks not to contain China, but to shape Beijing’s choices as its influence grows. [excerpt]

Embracing Chinese Global Security Ambitions
Jonathan Holslag

Washington should grasp China’s more prominent global military presence as an opportunity—while assuaging allies like Australia, India, Japan, and South Korea—through an inclusive balancing strategy, engaging all regional powers in a pragmatic multilateral framework. [excerpt]

The Obama Administration and the Americas: A Promising Start
Abraham F. Lowenthal

For a number of reasons, the Obama administration has taken an active interest in Latin American and Caribbean affairs during its first few months, in part because it knows it needs to build mutual respect and multilateral cooperation in the Americas, as elsewhere. [excerpt]

G- ∞: Can Multilateralism Work?

The Importance of the United Nations

Multiple financial and security crises raise questions about whether the UN, G-8, G-20, and other multilateral venues are sufficiently equipped to address today’s challenges

Toward a Third Generation of International Institutions: Obama’s UN Policy
Thomas G. Weiss

The ongoing financial crisis has made it even more clear that the risks and costs of today’s economic and other global challenges require imagining a third generation of international organizations. [excerpt]

Toward Effective Multilateralism: Why Bigger May Not Be Better
Thomas Wright

Over the next decade, the United States may be able to reorder the architecture of international cooperation to meet the challenges of the twenty-first century. Whether or not this effort succeeds will depend, in large part, on the problem reform seeks to solve. [excerpt]

A European View on the Future of Multilateralism
Manuel Lafont Rapnouil

The reform of the multilateral system today will be slow, gradual, and probably disorderly. Does the international community need to develop a whole new logic for multilateralism to address the current crisis and avoid future ones? [excerpt]

Mastering Global Financial Crises: a German Perspective
Jörg Asmussen

The state secretary of the Federal Ministry of Finance lays out the measures Germany has taken to stabilize banks, as well as the economy at large, and answers whether Berlin has the political will to deal with the challenges of the financial crisis. [excerpt]

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